Updated August 2014 CARLOS J. VILALTA Center for Economic Research and Education (CIDE) Carr. México Toluca 3655, Mexico D.F. 01210 Phone: 5727.9800 ext. 2477 Fax: 5727-9800 ext. 2475 Email: carlos.vilalta@cide.edu Web: CIDE / Geocrimen / Personal RESEARCH AND METHODS Research Methods Spatial and temporal elements of crime and fear of crime, crime prevention, and prison populations in Latin America. Spatial statistics, parametric and free-distribution statistics, generalized linear modeling, time series analysis, and sampling designs. EDUCATION 2002 1998 1994 Ph.D. Urban Studies, Portland State University MUS. Urban Studies, El Colegio de Mexico BA. Law, Universidad Tecnológica de Mexico 2013 1999 1995 Diploma (inc). Anthropology and Modernity, Universidad Iberoamericana Certificate. Applied Demography, Portland State University Diploma. European Union Studies, El Colegio de Mexico ACADEMIC POSITIONS 2013 – Present 2013 – 2014 2009 – 2014 2007 – 2013 2007 2006 – 2007 2005 – 2006 2003 1997 – 1998 1998 – 2007 Professor Researcher – Full tenured (CIDE) Coordinator – Data Center for Applied Research (CIDE) Academic Council – Faculty representative (CIDE) Professor Researcher – On tenure track (CIDE) Director – Undergraduate program in Law (CIDE) Director – Research and Development, Tecnológico de Monterrey Dean, School of Business and Social Sciences, Tecnológico de Monterrey Director – Masters in Political Analysis, Tecnólogico de Monterrey Research Coordinator – Center for Strategic Studies, Tecnólogico de Monterrey Professor – Tecnológico de Monterrey VISITING ACADEMIC POSITIONS 2014 – 2015 2014 2013 2012 2010 Visiting Fellow – Center for US-Mexican Studies, UC San Diego (UCSD) Visiting Academic – Dept. of Geography, University of Cambridge Visiting Adjunct Professor – Dept. of Criminology and Criminal Justice, University of Missouri in Saint Louis (UMSL) Visiting Scholar – Dept. of Urban Planning, McGill University Visiting Scholar – Center for Applied Statistics, Washington University in St. Louis. (WUSTL) 1 Updated August 2014 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 Visiting Academic – Dept. of Geography, University of Cambridge Visiting Scholar – Dept. of Urban Planning, McGill University Visiting Scholar – School of Law, University of Houston Visiting Scholar– University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (UNC) Visiting Scholar– University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (UNC) HONORS AND AWARDS 2013 2012 2007 2004 2004 National Researcher – Level 2. Mexican National System of Researchers (SNI-CONACYT) Best Article. Police Practice & Research. National Researcher – Level 1. Mexican National System of Researchers (SNI-CONACYT) Best Professor. School of Public Administration and Public Policy. Tecnológico de Monterrey. National Researcher – Candidate. Mexican National System of Researchers (SNI-CONACYT) PUBLICATIONS Books In process In process Under review Forthcoming Forthcoming 2014 2013 2008 The better angels of our nature? Fear and crime in Latin America La victimización del sector productivo. Joint work with V. Carreon. Determinantes de la violencia y el crimen en Campeche, Mexico. Mexico: COLMEX. Joint work with G. Fondevila. Perfiles criminales II: Teorías y correlativos. Mexico: Editorial CIDE. Joint work with G. Fondevila. Inferencia Cientifica y Analisis de Datos. Mexico: Editorial CIDE. La desigualdad de trato: en el diseño del gasto público federal mexicano. Mexico: Editorial CIDE-CONAPRED. Joint work with M. Merino. Perfiles criminales I: Frecuencias y descriptivos. Mexico: Editorial CIDE. Joint work with G. Fondevila. Empirical Modeling in Urban Studies: A Spatial Statistics Application. VDM Verlag. Germany: Saarbrücken. ISBN 978-3639102017 Peer reviewed journal articles In English: 2014 2014 2014 2014 2013 Does the Mexican war on Organized Crime mediate the impact of fear of crime on daily routines? Crime & Delinquency. How did things get so bad so quickly? An assessment of the initial conditions of the war against organized crime in Mexico. European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research. Violent disorder in Ciudad Juarez: A spatial analysis of homicide. Trends in Organized Crime. Joint work with R. Muggah. A preliminary analysis of the use of force by the Mexico City police. Global Crime. How exactly does place matter in crime analysis? Place, space and spatial heterogeneity. Journal of Criminal Justice Education, 24(3), 290315. 2 Updated August 2014 2013 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2010 2010 2010 2004 In Spanish: 2014 2014 2013 2011 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 Towards an understanding of community organization against crime: The case of Ciudad Juarez, Mexico. Stability, 2(1), 1-15. The spatiality of judicial data. Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy, 5(4), 273-289. The making of Narco bosses: Hard drug dealing crimes among Mexican students. Trends in Organized Crime, 15(1), 47-63. Joint work with M. Martínez. *Fear of crime and home security systems. Police Practice & Research, 13(1), 4-14. *Awarded Best Paper published by PPR in 2012. Fear of crime in public transport: Research in Mexico City. Crime Prevention & Community Safety, 13(3), 171-186. Fear of crime in gated communities and apartment buildings: A comparison of housing types and a test of theories. Journal of Housing and the Built Environment, 26(2), 107-121. Vote-buying crime reports in Mexico: Magnitude and correlates. Crime, Law and Social Change, 54(5), 325-337. Correlates of distance to crime in Mexico City. Global Crime, 11(3), 299314. The spatial dynamics and socio-economic correlates of drug arrests in Mexico City. Applied Geography, 30(2), 263-270. The local context and the spatial diffusion of multiparty competition in urban Mexico. Political Geography, 23(4), 403-423. Los factores que incrementan la probabilidad de éxito de las iniciativas fiscales federales en México, 1997-2009. Política y Gobierno. Joint work with B. García. Miedo al crimen y comunidades cerradas en la ciudad de México. Gestion y Politica Publica, volumen temático, 127-155. Anomia institucional, espacialidad y temporalidad en las muertes asociadas a la lucha contra la delincuencia organizada en México. Mexican Studies / Estudios Mexicanos, 29(1), 280-319. El robo de vehículos en la ciudad de México: patrones espaciales y series de tiempo. Gestión y Política Pública, 20(1), 97-139. Un examen de la relación entre el consumo de sustancias y la comisión de delitos. Estudios Sociológicos, 28(1), 113-134. El miedo al crimen en México: Estructura lógica, bases empíricas y recomendaciones iniciales de política pública. Gestión y Política Pública, 19(1), 3-36. El uso de la violencia entre los emigrantes retornados. Migraciones Internacionales, 5(2), 75-96. Un modelo descriptivo de la geografía del robo en la Zona Metropolitana del Valle de México. Journal of Latin American Geography, 8(1), 55-80. La geografía local del narcomenudeo: Patrones, procesos y recomendaciones de política urbana. Estudios Demográficos y Urbanos, 24(1), 49-77. Los factores de la violencia durante el delito Armas de fuego, momento del día y experiencia criminal. Estudios Sociológicos, 28(1), 211-235. 3 Updated August 2014 2008 2008 2008 2008 2007 2007 2006 2006 2005 2003 2003 2002 ¿Se pueden predecir geográficamente los resultados electorales?: Una aplicación del análisis de clusters y outliers espaciales. Estudios Demográficos y Urbanos, 23(3), 571-613. Comentarios y mediciones sobre la segregación espacial en la ciudad de México. Estudios Demográficos y Urbanos, 23(2), 375-413. Dos pruebas de hipótesis sobre la geografía de las patentes en México. Economía, Sociedad y Territorio, 8(28), 1007-1032. Joint work with H. Banda. Relaciones indirectas y variables asociadas a la duración de las penas y las apelaciones: evidencias y comentarios. Estudios Sociológicos, 26(2), 73-112. El voto de oposición al segundo piso del periférico: una contribución empírica sobre su geografía y posibles mecanismos causales. Gestión y Política Pública. 26(2), 381-420. Una evaluación geográfica de la política de educación media superior de la ciudad de México. Economía, Sociedad y Territorio, 23(8), 807832. Joint work with L. Cervantes. Sobre la espacialidad de los procesos electorales urbanos y una comparación entre las técnicas de regresión OLS y SAM. Estudios Demográficos y Urbanos, 21(1), 83-122. Una metodología formal para calcular el peso que los electores le dan a los elementos de evaluación ideológica. Política y Gobierno, 13(1), 99147. Joint work with E. Pacheco and M. Schettino. Como enseñar autocorrelación espacial. Economía, Sociedad y Territorio, 5(18) 323-333. Perspectivas geográficas en la sociología urbana: la difusión espacial de las preferencias electorales y la importancia del contexto local. Estudios Demográficos y Urbanos, 18(3), 147-177. Una aplicación del análisis espacial al estudio de las diferencias regionales del ingreso en México. Economía, Sociedad y Territorio, 4(14), 317-340. Los procesos de distritación electoral y el uso del criterio de comunidad de interés. Estudios Demográficos y Urbanos, 17(1), 151-173. Book chapters In English: 2011 2001 2001 1999 The Normal distribution. Encyclopedia of Mathematics and Society. S.J. Greenwald and J. E. Thomley (Eds.) Salem Press: Pasadena, CA. ISBN: 978-1-58765-844-0. Metropedia: A walk through the trends. Metropolitan Briefing Book 2001. Craig Wollner (Ed.), 19-27. Institute of Portland Metropolitan Studies. Portland State University. Joint work with J. Cortright, J. and E. Seltzer. Portland-Vancouver Demographics. Metropolitan Briefing Book 2001. Craig Wollner (Ed.), 28-42. Institute of Portland Metropolitan Studies. Portland State University. Joint work with B. Edmonston Demographic Challenges Ahead: Portland-Vancouver Metropolitan Area. Metropolitan Briefing Book 1999.Craig Wollner (Ed.), 13-27. Institute of Portland Metropolitan Studies. Portland State University. In Spanish: 4 Updated August 2014 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2010 Los delitos contra la salud en México, 1997-2010. Las bases sociales del crimen organizado. José Antonio Aguilar (Coord.) Secretaría de Seguridad Pública (SSP) and Centro de Investigación en Estudios en Seguridad (CIES). ISBN: 978-067-95867-8-2. Inteligencia Geográfica: el análisis espacial de la actividad delictiva. Plataforma México: La expresión tecnológica del nuevo modelo policial. Luis Alfonso Villa (Coord.) Secretaría de Seguridad Pública (SSP) and Centro de Investigación en Estudios en Seguridad (CIES). ISBN: 978607-95867-4-4. Indicadores y sistemas de indicadores en seguridad pública: una revisión y evaluación sintéticas de la información oficial existente. Indicadores de Seguridad Publica en México; Una discusión conceptual metodológica. Arturo Alvarado (Coord.) Secretaría de Seguridad Pública (SSP) and Centro de Investigación en Estudios en Seguridad (CIES). ISBN: 978-607-95867-1-3. El reto de la pobreza y la desigualdad social. Construyendo el Futuro de México: Propuestas de Políticas Públicas. T. Almaguer, H. Moreira and C. Urzua (Eds.)Tecnológico de Monterrey. ISBN 978-607-501-074-8. Joint work with A. Ortega. Crimen y violencia en las ciudades mexicanas. Ciudades mexicanas: Desafíos en concierto. Enrique Cabrero (Coord.). Conaculta and FCE. ISBN: 978-607-16-0817-8. Evolución de las desigualdades regionales, 1960-2020. Los Grandes Problemas de México. Volumen II: Desarrollo Urbano y Regional. G. Garza and M. Schteingart (Coords.) El Colegio de México. ISBN 978-607462-289-8. Book reviews 2012 2004 2001 Illegal leisure revisited. Changing patterns of alcohol and drug use in adolescents and young adults. J. Aldridge, F. Measham and L. Williams. Routledge: East Sussex, England. 2011. International Criminal Justice Review, 22(4), 459-460. The spaces of postmodernity: Readings in human geography. M. J. Dear and S. Flusty. Blackwell Publishers. 2002. Political Geography, 23(1), 104-105. Cousins and strangers: Spanish immigrants in Buenos Aires, 18501930. J. C. Moya. Berkeley: University of California Press. 1998. Urban Geography, 22(7), 696-697. Working papers 2013 2012 2007 Determinant Factors in the Perception of Crime-Related Insecurity in Mexico. Inter-American Development Bank (IADB) No. 78738. Violent Disorder in Ciudad Juarez: A Spatial Analysis of Homicide. Humanitarian Action in Situations other than War (HASOW). Discussion Paper No. 1. Joint work with R. Muggah. Determinantes regionales de la compra y coacción del voto en México. United Nations Development Program (UNDP). Working paper no. 4. Currently under peer review In English: The relationship between Marijuana use and juvenile crime 5 Updated August 2014 Predictors of vandal behavior in Mexico In Spanish: La capacidad de la geografía para predecir la opinión en seguridad pública El perfil de los homicidas federales y el impacto de la extradición TEACHING EXPERIENCE 1 Center for Economic Research and Teaching (CIDE) Undergraduate: Masters: Doctoral: Basic quantitative research methods (2) Formal quantitative methods (2) Legal research methods (1) Quantitative research methods for lawyers (6) Applied statistics (1) Quantitative research designs and techniques (2) Introduction to Intelligence Analysis for public security (1) Research Methods Seminar I (1) Research Methods Seminar II (1) Tecnológico de Monterrey Undergraduate: Masters: Doctoral: Quantitative research methods (14) Content analysis (1) Regional development (2) Quantitative research methods (10) Spatial analysis (1) Research methods, data analysis, and scientific writing (1) Quantitative research methods (1) Social research and non-parametric statistics (1) Advanced quantitative methods (1) El Colegio de México Doctoral: Research methods (1) THESES AND DISSERTATIONS 2 Undergraduate: Masters: Doctoral: Director (4). Theses that have competed and awarded nationally and internationally: 2 Reader (7) Director (2) Director (2) Reader (1) DOCTORAL COMPREHENSIVE EXAMINATIONS 3 Doctoral comprehensive examination committees (15) In parentheses the number of courses taught. In parentheses the number of times served. 3 In parentheses the number of times served. 1 2 6 Updated August 2014 PROFESSIONAL SERVICE 2014 – Present Member. Committee for Crime Prevention Practices. Undersecretary of Prevention and Citizen Participation. Secretary of the Interior. México. 2013 – Present Editor. Police Practice & Research. 2013 – Present Member. Technical Committee of Public Safety Information. National Information Subsystem of Government, Public Safety and Justice. National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI). México. 2011 – Present Member. Advisory Committee. Center for Excellence in Criminal Statistics for Latin American and the Caribbean. UNODC and INEGI. 2008 – Present Project Evaluator. National Council of Science and Technology (CONACYT). México. 2013 Advisor. Mexico City Crime Indicator System. Newspaper El Universal. México. 2011 Member. Editorial Committee - Justice. Newspaper Reforma. México. 2010 Member. Editorial Committee. The International Center for the Prevention of Crime (ICPC). Canada. Journal reviewer since 2003: Applied Geography Boletín Mexicano de Derecho Comparado Crime, Law and Social Change Economía, Sociedad y Territorio Crime Prevention and Community Safety Editorial Académica DHCS (UAM) Criminology Estudios Legislativos Environment and Behavior Estudios Sociológicos International Criminal Justice Review Fondo de Cultura Económica (FCE) International Journal of Comparative and Applied Criminal Justice Frontera Norte Housing Studies Gestión y Política Pública Journal of Housing and the Built Política y Gobierno Environment Problemas del Desarrollo Police Practice and Research Revista Mexicana de Ciencias Political Geography Políticas y Sociales Trimestre Económico PROFESSIONAL MEMBERSHIPS American Society of Criminology (ASC) Mexican Association of Statistics (AME) National System of Researchers (SNI-CONACYT) CURRENT AND RECENTLY COMPLETED CONSULTING PROJECTS 2014 – Present 2013 – Present 2013 – 2014 Urban violence in Latin America. Client: Center of Excellence in Statistical Information on Government, Crime, Victimization and Justice, the UNODC and the IADB. (180,000 USD) Role: Senior Consultant. Evaluation of six practices for school violence prevention. Client: The National Center for Crime Prevention, México. (192,300 USD) Role: Chief Methodologist. How should we measure discrimination? Client: The National Council for the Prevention of Discrimination (CONAPRED), México. (77,000 USD) Role: Chief Methodologist. 7 Updated August 2014 2013 2012 – 2013 2012 – 2013 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 – 2012 2011 – 2012 2011 – 2012 Continuing Education: Diploma in Public Security. Client: The State of Campeche, México. (108,700 USD) Role: Academic Director. Victimization and social cohesion state and municipal survey. Client: The State of Campeche, México. (116,400 USD) Role: Academic Director. Crime and violence prevention programs for the State of Campeche and the municipality of Campeche, México. Client: The State of Campeche and the Municipality of Campeche (62,000 USD) Role: Academic Director. The determinants of fear of crime. Client: Inter American Development Bank (IADB). (13,600 USD) Role: Senior Consultant. The spatial dependence and spatial heterogeneity of murder and theft crimes. Client: Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), France. (4,300 USD) Role: Senior Consultant. Mexican Residents in the US survey. Client: The Federal Electoral Institute, México. (9,400 USD) Role: Chief Methodologist. Federal Prison Inmate survey. Client: The Federal Secretary of Public Security. (2,300 USD) Role: Chief Methodologist. The dynamics of drug crimes in Mexico, 1997-2011. Client: The Federal Secretary of Public Security (4,700 USD) Role: Senior Consultant. The spatial elements of violence in Ciudad Juarez. Client: Humanitarian Action in Situations other than War (HASOW), Brazil. (4,270 USD) Role: Senior Consultant. Continuing Education: Statistics for Public Security. Client: Mesa de Seguridad de Ciudad Juárez, México. (2,700 USD) Role: Instructor. Victimization and social cohesion state and municipal surveys and local diagnostics. Client: The State of Campeche, México. (112,000 USD) Role: Academic Director. Geographic intelligence: Spatial statistics for crime prevention. Client: The Federal Secretary of Public Security (4,700 USD) Role: Senior Consultant. Crime indicators: What and why. Client: The Federal Secretary of Public Security (4,700 USD) Role: Senior Consultant. Total since 2011: 899,070 USD GOVERNMENT GRANTS 2014 2008 National Laboratory for Public Policy. National Council of Science and Technology (CONACYT), México. Grant number 232738 (1,538,000 USD) CIDE as a research center within the CONACYT system will match same amount over the next 3 years totaling 3,076,000 USD. The geography of vehicle theft: Patterns and policy recommendations. National Council of Science and Technology (CONACYT), México. Grant number 90918 (7,700 USD) Total: 3,083,700 USD 8 Updated August 2014 RECENT CONFERENCE AND ACADEMIC PRESENTATIONS 2104 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 Reducing crime by reducing crime risk. Second International Conference on Governance, Crime and Justice Statistics. UNODC and INEGI, Mexico. Towards a macro-theory of urban violence in Mexico Violence and Policing in Latin American and US Cities. Poverty and Governance, Center of Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law. Stanford University. El potencial de la política social de prevención del delito. Foro Nacional Sumemos Causas por la Seguridad, Ciudadanos + Policía. Causa en Común. México. El análisis espacial del comportamiento criminal - experiencias en México. Primer Seminario: Cifras y Análisis, construyendo conocimiento para la prevención del delito. Subsecretaría de Prevención del Delito de Chile. Santiago de Chile. Indicadores de prevención del delito Centro Estratégico de Análisis del Delito (CEAD) and Subsecretaría de Prevención del Delito de Chile. Santiago de Chile. The spatial variation of the initial conditions of crime prevention programs. Associates Conference. Center for US-Mexican Studies, UC San Diego (UCSD) Escaping crime: The residential displacement of victims in Mexico. The Politics of Protection and the Future of Humanitarian Practices. Humanitarian Action in Situations other than War (HASOW) and the Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Rio de Janeiro. Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Tendencias actuales de la violencia delictiva: el caso de México. Citizen security, drug policies, and arms control for Latin America. The Global Commission on Drug Policy. Tecnológico de Monterrey. México. Perception of insecurity in Mexico. Crime and fear of crime roundtable. Inter American Development Bank (IADB). Washington D.C. Retos en la construcción de indicadores de seguridad: el caso mexicano. Indicadores de seguridad ciudadana y políticas públicas. FLACSO Ecuador, International Development Research Center (IDRCCRDI) and Red Iberoamericana de Análisis de Datos de la Delincuencia (RIADD). Quito, Ecuador. Measuring the territorial distribution of crime. Strengthening Evidencebased Policy Making on Security and Justice in Mexico. OECD, Secretaría de Economía and Secretaría de Gobernación. México. Joint work with Monica Brezzi (OECD) ¿De qué depende el miedo al crimen en México?. Segundo Congreso Internacional de Victimología y Octavo Congreso Internacional de Criminología. Universidad de Ixtlahuaca. México. Towards an understanding of community organization against crime: The case of Ciudad Juarez, Mexico. Surviving Violence: Comparative Perspectives. Centre for Foreign Policy Studies (CFPS), Dalhousie University, Canada. The war on Organized Crime in Mexico: A spatial and temporal analysis of homicide counts. School of Criminal Justice. University of Cincinnati. The impact of fear of crime on routines. United Nations Program for Development (UNDP), the International Development Research Centre (IDRC) and Strategic Projects Consulting (PEC). México. 9 Updated August 2014 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2010 Crimen, capital social y cohesión. Federación Nacional de Municipios (FENAMM). México. Los delitos contra la salud en México, 1997-2011. Universidad Pontificia Javeriana. Bogotá, Colombia. Tipping points in the war on organized crime: The case of Ciudad Juárez. Urban Violence: Patterns and Trends. Humanitarian Action in Situations other than War, Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Rio de Janeiro, and the International Development Research Center. Rio de Janeiro, Brasil. Seguridad Pública y Criminalidad: determinantes socio-espaciales y estructurales. El Colegio de la Frontera Norte. Tijuana, México. Patrones y tendencias de las muertes relacionadas con el crimen organizado. Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México. Toluca, México. Espacios urbanos y miedo al crimen Foro Internacional Los Derechos Humanos en la Formación Ciudadana Desafíos Emergentes para la Paz y la Seguridad. Tecnológico de Monterrey. Cuernavaca, México. La dependencia espacial de la actividad judicial. Día Mundial de las Estadísticas Oficiales. PNUD and CIDE. México. RECENT PRESS AND TV PRESENTATIONS Link to newspaper interviews: HERE Link to TV interviews and videos: HERE OTHER WORK EXPERIENCE 2001 – 2002 2000 – 2002 1999 – 2002 1999 – 2001 1998 – 2001 1994 1992 – 1993 Graduate Assistant, School of Urban and Public Affairs Library. Portland State University. Graduate Research Assistant, Institute of Portland Metropolitan Studies. Portland State University. Faculty Evaluation Committee , doctoral student representative, School of Urban and Public Affairs. Portland State University. Faculty Search Committee , doctoral student representative, School of Urban and Public Affairs. Portland State University. Graduate Research Assistant , Population Research and State Data Center. Portland State University. Legal Intern, McMahon & Associates. Washington, D.C. Social Service, Presidency of the Republic. México. LANGUAGES Spanish and English (TOEFL: 647). Catalan (intermediate) SPORTS AND HOBBIES Fencing (Epee/right-handed). Hobby: Collecting old maps. 10 Updated August 2014 ACADEMIC REFERENCES Upon request 11