2014 MARBELLA ECONOMIC SITUATION BIANNUAL NEWSLETTER Nº 2 INDEX 1. ECONOMY SEGMENT ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 3 1.1. Monthly evolution of electricity consumption. Years 2013-2014 ............................................................................................................................................................................................ 3 1.2. Quarterly evolution of building permits requested. Years 2011-2014 .................................................................................................................................................................................... 4 1.3. Quarterly evolution of opening licenses granted. Years 2013-2014 ........................................................................................................................................................................................ 5 1.4. Biannual evolution of Capital Gains Tax Assessment (Plusvalia). Years 2009-20141 ............................................................................................................................................................... 5 1.5. Monthly evolution of the total population of Marbella and by administrative districts. Years 2012-20142 ........................................................................................................................... 6 2. INSTITUTIONAL SEGMENT ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 8 2.1. Biannual evolution of municipal debt (private, with public entities and total Marbella Town Hall debt. Years 2012-2014 ................................................................................................... 8 2.2. Average period of payments to suppliers of the Marbella Town Hall. December 2014 .......................................................................................................................................................... 8 2.3. Monthly evolution of urban waste. Years 2012-2014.............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 9 3. LABOUR MARKET SEGMENT .......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 10 3.1. Evolution of monthly registered unemployment by gender. Months 2012-2014 ................................................................................................................................................................ 10 3.2 Monthly evolution of contracts signed, by gender and contract type. Years 2005-2014 ..................................................................................................................................................... 11 4. HOUSING SEGMENT....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 12 4.1. Quarterly evolution of the price of free market housing and number of appraisals. Quarters 2012-2014 .......................................................................................................................... 12 4.2. Quarterly evolution of real estate transactions by type of housing. Quarters 2012-2014 ................................................................................................................................................... 12 4.3. National ranking of absolute real estate transactions and per 1,000 inhabitants. Comparison of twelve main Spanish cities. Third quarter of 2014 ...................................................... 13 5. TOURISM SEGMENT....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 14 5.1 Monthly evolution of overnight stays. Years 2013-2014 ....................................................................................................................................................................................................... 14 5.2. Monthly evolution of travellers. Years 2013-2014................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 15 5.3. Monthly evolution of average stay, occupancy rate and personnel employed. Years 2013-2014 ....................................................................................................................................... 16 Marbella Town Hall | ECONOMY. Biannual report on economic situation of Marbella no. 2-2014 95.000 Evolution of monthly electricity consumption Years 2013-2014 (MWH). Monthly electricity consumption (MWH) 85.000 75.000 65.000 Lineal (Monthly electricity consumption (MWH)) 55.000 nov-14 sep-14 jul-14 may-14 mar-14 35.000 Jan-14 45.000 nov-13 jan-13 jan-14 mar-13 apr-13 may-13 jun-13 jul-13 ago-13 sep-13 oct-13 nov-13 dec-14 Jan-14 feb-14 mar-14 apr-14 may-14 jun-14 jul-14 aug-14 sep-14 oct-14 nov-14 dec-14 Monthly electricity consumption (MWH) 62.433 64.436 55.605 62.770 60.722 63.982 63.176 83.957 78.087 74.969 61.879 61.887 62.727 66.878 57.466 62.773 58.821 65.548 65.407 81.482 80.445 79.181 62.031 66.260 sep-13 2014 2013 Month jul-13 Monthly evolution of electricity consumption. Years 20132014 may-13 1.1. mar-13 ECONOMY SEGMENT jan-13 1. Prepared in house.. Source: Endesa Marbella Town Hall | ECONOMY. Biannual report on economic situation of Marbella no. 2-2014 Quarterly evolution of building permits requested. Years 2011-2014 Affidavit Building Licences minor works 800 700 Actions Reported 600 Building licence mayor works 500 400 1st occupancy licences 300 Affidavit 200 100 T14-4 T14-3 T14-2 T14-1 T13-4 T13-3 T13-2 T13-1 T12-4 T12-3 T12-2 T12-1 0 T11-4 5 6 8 15 15 17 16 12 T11-3 T11-1 T11-2 T11-3 T11-4 T12-1 T12-2 T12-3 T12-4 T13-1 T13-2 T13-3 T13-4 T14-1 T14-2 T14-3 T14-4 Quarterly evolution of building licences. Years 2011-2014 T11-2 2014 2013 2012 2011 Quarter Building Building 1st occupancy Licences Columna1 licence mayor licences minor works 212 588 41 27 258 545 57 28 245 518 49 29 238 519 42 10 273 647 35 17 283 583 40 20 239 466 53 20 265 507 49 12 315 599 48 29 290 712 66 25 303 544 61 25 312 680 63 19 375 692 68 27 355 748 58 24 307 509 98 30 298 434 90 21 Prepared in house.. Source: Delegación de Urbanismo T11-1 1.2. Lineal (Building Licences minor works) Lineal (Actions Reported) Marbella Town Hall | ECONOMY. Biannual report on economic situation of Marbella no. 2-2014 Quarterly evolution of opening licenses granted. Years 2013-2014 Quarter 2013 T13-1 T13-2 T13-3 T13-4 T14-1 T14-2 T14-3 T14-4 2014 1.4. Biannual evolution of Capital Gains Tax Assessment (Plusvalia). Years 2009-20141 Opening licences issued Nueva San Marbella Las Chapas Total Andalucía Pedro 81 13 16 45 155 102 28 40 73 243 139 11 41 50 241 119 16 41 66 242 101 21 46 57 225 93 22 41 58 214 134 14 102 40 290 102 11 28 67 208 Prepared in house. Source: Patronato de Recaudación Prepared in house. Source: Delegación de Industria Quarterly evolution of opening licences issued by areas. Years 2013-2014 350 Marbella 300 Las Chapas 250 Nueva Andalucía San Pedro 200 Total 150 Lineal (Marbella) Lineal (Las Chapas) 100 Lineal (Nueva Andalucía) Lineal (San Pedro) 50 Lineal (Total) T14-4 T14-3 T14-2 T14-1 T13-4 T13-2 T13-1 - T13-3 1.3. 1 The data of the last half of 2014 are still been settled even in 2015thus they are provisional data, even the rest of semesters. The data indicate the date of the accrual of the transmission regardless of when the capital gain tax is settled. Marbella Town Hall | ECONOMY. Biannual report on economic situation of Marbella no. 2-2014 1.5. Monthly evolution of the total population of Marbella and by administrative districts. Years 2012-20142 Prepared in house.. Source: Padrón Municipal 2 Population spikes respond to the lack of administrative renewal from both EU and non EU citizens. Marbella Town Hall | ECONOMY. Biannual report on economic situation of Marbella no. 2-2014 Evolución anual de la población de Marbella. Años 2000-2013 150000 140000 130000 120000 Población 110000 100000 90000 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Marbella Town Hall | INSTITUTIONAL. Biannual report on economic situation of Marbella no. 2-2014 2. INSTITUTIONAL SEGMENT 2.1. Biannual evolution of municipal debt (private, with public entities and total Marbella Town Hall debt. Years 20122014 Semester Private financial debt 2012 2S 2013 1S 2013 2S 2014 1S 2014 2S 57.329.541,30 55.869.764,75 53.150.548,74 51.615.852,38 52.991.702,60 Debt with public administrations 363.074.379,68 358.076.736,25 355.467.411,19 349.709.830,85 335.137.634,56 Total debt Variation 420.403.920,98 413.946.501,00 408.617.959,93 401.325.683,23 388.129.337,16 Prepared in house. Source: Área de Hacienda y Administración Pública 6.457.419,98 5.328.541,07 7.292.276,70 - 13.196.346,07 2.2. Average period of payments to suppliers of the Marbella Town Hall. December 2014 AVERAGE PERIOD PAYMENT TO SUPPLIERS OF THE TOWN COUNCIL OF MARBELLA (In accordance with methodology R.D. 635/2014) Average period payment to suppliers December 2014 32,55 days Prepared in house.. Source: Department of finance and public administration Semestral evolución of municipal indebtedness. Years 2012-2014 450.000.000,00 400.000.000,00 350.000.000,00 300.000.000,00 Total indebtedness 250.000.000,00 Private financial indebtedness 200.000.000,00 Indebtedness with public administrations 150.000.000,00 100.000.000,00 50.000.000,00 - 2012 2S 2013 1S 2013 2S 2014 1S 2014 2S Marbella Town Hall | INSTITUTIONAL. Biannual report on economic situation of Marbella no. 2-2014 Monthly evolution of urban waste. Years 2012-2014 Monthly tonnes of recicling jan-12 6.429 526 feb-12 6.305 492 mar-12 7.064 525 apr-12 7.641 577 may-12 8.184 680 jun-12 8.675 670 jul-12 10.090 769 ago-12 11.161 897 sep-12 7.838 626 oct-12 7.410 631 nov-12 7.036 590 dec-12 6.289 539 jan-13 6.359 564 feb-13 5.734 442 mar-13 6.943 583 apr-13 7.453 596 may-13 7.990 664 jun-13 7.855 570 jul-13 10.231 732 ago-13 11.157 716 sep-13 8.090 623 oct-13 7.771 576 nov-13 6.313 489 dec-14 6.221 497 Jan-14 6.580 540 feb-14 5.746 487 mar-14 6.738 526 apr-14 7.734 590 may-14 8.066 624 jun-14 8.435 683 jul-14 10.234 716 aug-14 11.443 761 sep-14 8.743 679 oct-14 7.727 646 nov-14 6.903 558 dec-14 6.840 555 Prepared in house.. Source: Delegación de Limpieza (RSU) Monthly tonnes of solid waste Monthly evolution of solid waste (Tonnes). Years 2012-2014 14.000 12.000 Monthly tonnes of solid waste 10.000 8.000 Monthly tonnes of recicling 6.000 4.000 Lineal (Monthly tonnes of solid waste) nov-14 jul-14 sep-14 may-14 Jan-14 mar-14 sep-13 nov-13 jul-13 mar-13 may-13 jan-13 nov-12 jul-12 sep-12 may-12 0 jan-12 2.000 mar-12 2013 2012 Month 2014 2.3. Marbella Town Hall | EMPLOYMENT. Biannual report on economic situation of Marbella no. 2-2014 LABOUR MARKET SEGMENT 3.1. Evolution of monthly registered unemployment by gender. Months 2012-2014 2014 2013 2012 3. Month Registered unemployment men Registered unemployment women Registered unemployment total jan-12 8.520 8.410 16.930 feb-12 8.602 8.613 17.215 mar-12 8.434 8.624 17.058 apr-12 8.105 8.433 16.538 may-12 7.854 8.206 16.060 jun-12 7.330 7.718 15.048 jul-12 6.991 7.457 14.448 aug-12 7.027 7.425 14.452 sep-12 7.292 7.760 15.052 oct-12 7.692 8.113 15.805 nov-12 8.130 8.643 16.773 dec-12 8.203 8.701 16.904 jan-13 8.241 8.235 16.476 feb-13 8.990 8.990 17.980 mar-13 7.911 8.826 16.737 apr-13 7.860 8.762 16.622 may-13 7.469 8.444 15.913 jun-13 6.888 7.947 14.835 jul-13 6.497 7.511 14.008 aug-13 6.380 7.205 13.585 sep-13 6.688 7.445 14.133 oct-13 7.132 7.869 15.001 nov-13 7.480 8.161 15.641 dec-13 7.562 8.101 15.663 jan-14 7.645 8.262 15.907 feb-14 7.929 8.525 16.454 mar-14 7.656 8.497 16.153 apr-14 7.127 7.958 15.085 may-14 6.694 7.655 14.349 jun-14 6.222 7.313 13.535 jul-14 5.932 7.015 12.947 aug-14 5.879 6.815 12.694 sep-14 6.339 7.134 13.473 oct-14 6.624 7.474 14.098 nov-14 6.880 7.882 14.762 dec-14 6.881 7.874 14.755 Monthly evolution of unemployment by gender 2012-2014 10.000 9.000 8.000 7.000 6.000 5.000 Registered unemploy ment men Registered unemploy ment women Lineal (Registered unemploy ment men) Prepared in house.. Source: Observatorio Argos Marbella Town Hall | EMPLOYMENT. Biannual report on economic situation of Marbella no. 2-2014 Monthly evolution of contracts signed, by gender and contract type. Years 2005-2014 2014 Temporary registered contracts total 2.016 1.645 3.661 apr-12 210 193 403 2.424 1.846 4.270 may-12 223 228 451 2.621 2.020 4.641 jun-12 202 194 396 3.015 2.543 5.558 jul-12 222 183 405 2.976 2.908 5.884 aug-12 138 151 289 2.186 1.927 4.113 sep-12 163 147 310 1.954 1.991 3.945 oct-12 215 280 495 2.260 1.993 4.253 nov-12 223 257 480 1.571 1.433 3.004 dec-12 131 178 309 1.337 1.450 2.787 Monthly registered contracts by gender and type of contract 2012-2014 4.500 jan-13 192 188 380 1.603 1.416 3.019 4.000 feb-13 205 198 403 1.409 1.160 2.569 3.500 mar-13 235 222 457 1.885 1.622 3.507 3.000 apr-13 254 224 478 2.483 1.996 4.479 may-13 258 231 489 2.935 2.270 5.205 jun-13 159 186 345 2.949 2.546 5.495 jul-13 202 258 460 3.467 3.204 6.671 aug-13 157 154 311 2.322 2.061 4.383 sep-13 205 214 419 2.188 2.173 4.361 1.500 oct-13 236 244 480 2.510 2.318 4.828 nov-13 187 193 380 1.986 1.625 3.611 1.000 dec-13 176 133 309 1.607 1.664 3.271 jan-14 184 192 376 1.760 1.805 3.565 feb-14 202 200 402 1.616 1.507 3.123 mar-14 346 288 634 2.030 1.775 3.805 apr-14 418 285 703 2.729 2.522 5.251 may-14 308 245 553 3.197 2.529 5.726 jun-14 301 245 546 3.201 2.941 6.142 jul-14 292 284 576 3.903 3.510 7.413 aug-14 177 218 395 2.687 2.269 4.956 sep-14 233 245 478 2.412 2.483 4.895 oct-14 243 272 515 2.517 2.304 4.821 nov-14 250 232 482 2.120 1.923 4.043 dec-14 163 175 338 1.840 1.776 3.616 2.500 2.000 500 nov-14 398 jul-14 189 sep-14 209 may-14 2.810 mar-12 jan-14 2.684 1.297 mar-14 1.317 1.513 nov-13 1.367 286 jul-13 293 123 sep-13 153 163 may-13 140 feb-12 jan-13 jan-12 mar-13 Temporary registered contracts women nov-12 Temporary registered contracts men jul-12 Indefinite registered contracts total sep-12 Indefinite registered contracts women may-12 Indefinite registered contracts men jan-12 2013 2012 Month mar-12 3.2 Indefinite registered contracts men Indefinite registered contracts men Temporary registered contracts men Temporary registered contracts women Lineal (Temporary registered contracts men) Lineal (Temporary registered contracts women) Prepared in house.. Source: Observatorio Argos Marbella Town Hall | HOUSING. Biannual report on economic situation of Marbella no. 2-2014 4. HOUSING SEGMENT 4.1. Quarterly evolution of the price of free market housing and number of appraisals. Quarters 2012-2014 Quarter T12-1 T12-2 T12-3 T12-4 T13-1 T13-2 T13-3 T13-4 T14-1 T14-2 T14-3 T14-4 Price of free market housing (m2) 2.090,10 1.932,60 2.036,20 1.990,00 1.992,00 1.976,00 1.899,80 1.999,00 1.911,50 1.930,40 2.004,70 1.910,50 Nº of valuations 343 364 359 378 437 619 343 585 443 526 445 525 4.2. Quarterly evolution of real estate transactions by type of housing. Quarters 2012-2014 Quarters T12-1 T12-2 T12-3 T12-4 T13-1 T13-2 T13-3 T13-4 T14-1 T14-2 T14-3 T14-4 Prepared in house.. Source: Ministry of public works Quarterly evolution of the price of free market housing (m2) and nº of valuations Years 2012-2014 2.500,00 2.000,00 1.500,00 1.000,00 500,00 - Price of free market housing (m2) Nº of valuations Lineal (Price of free market housing (m2)) Lineal (Nº of valuations) 1.500 1.000 500 - Real estate Real estate Real estate Real estate transactions transactions transactions transactions free market subsidized resales new housing housing housing 475 7 413 69 638 5 589 54 544 6 495 55 825 19 733 111 502 1 481 22 861 2 812 51 738 5 696 47 989 8 930 67 858 5 797 66 1.137 4 1.013 128 827 3 773 57 1.193 1 1.065 129 Prepared in house.. Source: Ministry of public works Quarterly evolution of real estate transactions by type of housing 2012-2014 Real estate transactions free market housing Real estate transactions subsidized housing Real estate transactions resales Real estate transactions new housing Lineal (Real estate transactions free market housing) Marbella Town Hall | HOUSING. Biannual report on economic situation of Marbella no. 2-2014 National ranking of absolute real estate transactions and per 1,000 inhabitants. Comparison of twelve main Spanish cities. Third quarter of 2014 Murcia Malaga Sevilla Zaragoza Barcelona Valencia Madrid Palma Alicante Orihuela 20,00 Marbella Alicante 15,00 Palma Madrid 10,00 Valencia 5,00 0,00 Barcelona Zaragoza Murcia Prepared in house. Source: Ministerio de Fomento Malaga Torrevieja 25,00 Malaga Murcia Sevilla Nº of real estate transactions for every 1.000 inhabitants. 2nd semester of 2014 Sevilla Malaga Zaragoza Zaragoza Sevilla 0 Barcelona Zaragoza Barcelona 2000 Valencia Barcelona Valencia 4000 Madrid Valencia Madrid 6000 Palma Madrid Palma 8000 Alicante Palma Alicante 10000 Marbella Alicante Marbella 12000 Orihuela Marbella 23,57 22,75 14,59 5,71 5,18 5,00 4,49 4,14 4,04 4,02 3,91 3,29 Orihuela 14000 Marbella Orihuela 2155 1898 2024 1897 2069 15822 3531 6630 2694 2802 2216 1447 Torrevieja 16000 Orihuela Torrevieja 18000 Torrevieja Real estate Nº of transactions transactions Municipality for every 1.000 second semester inhabitants 2014 Real estate transactions 2nd semester 2014. Comparison with principal Spanish towns Torrevieja 4.3. Sevilla Malaga Marbella Town Hall | TOURISM. Biannual report on economic situation of Marbella no. 2-2014 5. TOURISM SEGMENT 5.1 Monthly evolution of overnight stays. Years 2013-2014 Overnight stays 2 0 1 4 Residents abroad Total overnight stays Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 sep-14 oct-14 nov-14 Dec-14 45.118 51.363 93.408 139.281 231.304 246.942 241.414 272.113 241.846 214.875 63.328 46.345 53.761 56.744 78.754 169.719 219.655 220.623 257.797 292.375 250.858 227.190 67.187 50.475 57.066 63.791 140.708 180.319 272.983 306.283 337.739 409.836 306.431 245.578 78.310 64.413 69.536 72.876 101.529 227.400 272.426 283.909 359.248 430.781 316.393 276.392 87.076 71.869 Monthly evolution of overnight stays 2013-2014 350.000 300.000 Nº de Pernoctaciones 2 0 1 3 Month 250.000 200.000 Residents in Spain Residents abroad 150.000 100.000 50.000 - Lineal (Residents in Spain) Lineal (Residents abroad) Prepared in house.. Source: INE Marbella Town Hall | TOURISM. 5.2. Biannual report on economic situation of Marbella no. 2-2014 Monthly evolution of travellers. Years 2013-2014 Travellers 2 0 1 4 Residents in Spain Residents abroad Total Travellers Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 sep-14 oct-14 nov-14 Dec-14 5.005 6.494 15.987 13.431 16.245 20.230 23.791 28.928 19.857 11.900 6.135 7.670 6.113 8.441 10.588 17.892 17.195 21.276 26.789 32.585 19.889 18.163 9.404 10.455 11.081 13.103 24.166 34.285 51.280 51.265 43.015 49.933 47.622 41.674 16.289 12.138 13.564 14.917 19.938 41.635 48.119 45.095 46.850 49.294 53.298 44.939 17.133 13.670 16.086 19.597 40.153 47.716 67.525 71.495 66.806 78.861 67.479 53.574 22.424 19.808 19.677 23.358 30.526 59.527 65.314 66.371 73.639 81.879 73.187 63.102 26.537 24.125 Monthly evolution of travellers 2013-2014 60.000 50.000 Nº de viajeros 2 0 1 3 Month 40.000 30.000 20.000 10.000 - Residents in Spain Residents abroad Lineal (Residents in Spain) Lineal (Residents abroad) Prepared in house.. Source: INE Marbella Town Hall | TOURISM. Monthly evolution of average stay, occupancy rate and personnel employed. Years 2013-2014 2 0 1 3 2 0 1 4 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 sep-14 oct-14 nov-14 Dec-14 Degree of occupancy by beds Personnel employed 25 26 37 39 56 62 67 80 64 53 27 24 28 29 31 49 63 67 68 80 62 55 28 26 1.388 1.547 2.102 2.480 2.750 3.184 3.301 3.602 3.125 2.636 1.718 1.542 1.487 1.603 1.755 2.624 3.048 3.188 3.656 3.761 3.341 2.925 1.944 1.617 Monthly evolution of degree of occupancy and average stay 2013-2014 Grado de ocupación y estancia media Month 90,00 80,00 70,00 60,00 50,00 40,00 30,00 20,00 10,00 - Average stay Degree of occupancy by beds Lineal (Degree of occupancy by beds) Monthly evolution of nº of personnel employed 2013-2014 4.000 3.500 Nª de Empleados 5.3. Biannual report on economic situation of Marbella no. 2-2014 3.000 2.500 Personnel employed 2.000 1.500 1.000 500 Lineal (Personnel employed) - Prepared in house.. Source: INE Marbella Town Hall |