17/11/2012 Working and caring. The simultaneous decision of labor force participation, informal long-term and childcare services in Mexico Edwin van Gameren El Colegio de México – Centro de Estudios Económicos Durfari Janive Velandia Naranjo El Colegio de México – Centro de Estudios Económicos Fundación Santa Fe de Bogotá – Centro de Estudios e Investigación en Salud V Congreso de Economía de la Salud de América Latina y el Caribe Montevideo, Uruguay - 14, 15 y 16 de noviembre de 2012 Long-term care and child care in Mexico • A specialized long-term care market (home care and institutional care for the elderly) is small and unaffordable for the major part of the population. • Childcare services are available mainly through the social security system for formal employees • Both care activities are largely family-based • Population aging, smaller families, and changes in traditional roles may change the decisions regarding labor and care Purpose of the paper Analyze which factors determine the decision to participate in the labor market, to provide care to the elderly, and to provide care to the (grand)children in Mexico 1 17/11/2012 Theoretical background: integration of long-term care and childcare • Three-generation modeling framework where elderly care is motivated by demonstration effect (Giménez et al. 2007, 2008; Cox & Stark 2005): Older generation (elderly care) Middle generation (caregivers) Younger generation (childcare) • Explain allocation of parental time among three activities: labor market, child care, and elderly care. max U=U(C, Q, T, Ug) C=C(ew, y) monetary budget restriction T=T(t, ew, y) elderly care Q=Q(h, αt, ew, y) child quality h=h(m, t, e) time budget restriction C=consumption, Q=child quality, T=elderly care, Ug=utility of grandparent, e=hours worked, w=hourly wage, t=time spent on elderly care, h=time spent on childcare, α=demonstration effect, m=available time Empirical strategy: simultaneous decision • Reduced form model. Three-equation SUR Probit model Tl’= γl + Xjβjl + εl, Tl’ worked in the labor market (1,0) Te’= γe + Xjβje +εe, Te’ informal elder care given (1,0) Th’= γh + Xjβjh +εh, Th’ childcare given (1,0) where Ti’=1 if Ti>0 and Ti’=0 if Ti<0 (with Ti latent variables), for i=l, e, h Xj contains individual and household characteristics; γl, γe, and γh are constant coefficients and εl, εe, and εh are (correlated) errors. 2 17/11/2012 Data • • • Panel survey Mexican Health and Aging Study, MHAS (in Spanish: Estudio Nacional sobre Salud y Envejecimiento en México, ENASEM). Wave 2001 Nationally representative sample for Mexicans aged 50 years and more. Total sample size in 2001 of 15,186 individuals. Sample for empirical estimation: 6043 women between 45-70 years old Dependent variables are derived from the questions: • • • LFP: “Last week you …?”, where the answers “Worked”, “Did not work, but you had a job” value as positive on the indicator, zero otherwise; Elderly care: “In the last 2 years, did you (or your spouse) help your parents with basic personal activities such as dressing, eating or bathing because of a health problem? Exclude help with household chores, errands, and transportation.”; Childcare: “In the last two years, have you (or your spouse) spent at least one hour a week, helping your children/their spouses/your grandchildren (or those of your spouse)?” Descriptive statistics 3 17/11/2012 Descriptive statistics Descriptive statistics 4 17/11/2012 Descriptive statistics: dependent variables Descriptive statistics: independent variables • Parental information • Children & grandchildren Alive; healthy; living situation Young househ. memb. (<5, 5-12, 12-18) Resident, nonresident grandchildren • Socio-demographic situation • Socio-economic situation Age; Education; Urbanization; Indigenous Wealth; Nonlabor income; Spousal income; Access to health services; Pension rights • Health information SAH; ADL, IADL problems; chronic disease; mental health 5 17/11/2012 Simulations Note a : Scenario A: One parent alive, in need of care and cannot be left alone, three grandchildren aged under 5 in the household. Scenario B: Three parents alive, of which only one with care needs while all can be left alone, one grandchild aged 12-18 in the household. Scenario C: Same as scenario B, except that none of the parents have care needs. Conclusions • • • • • Care needs are the driving force behind the caregiving activities, much more than the economic situation; The presence of elderly strongly raises the probability that the respondent performs long-term care activities, especially if the elderly have health problems, while there are some indications for an interaction with childcare activities; The presence of young grandchildren raises the probability that the respondent performs childcare activities, while it slightly reduces the probability of labor market activities; Hence, care needs have a strong effect on the care activity that it requires, but also some effect on other activities; The reduction in the probability of caregiving is not compensate by an increase in the probability of labor force participation. 6 17/11/2012 Thank you! Dank u wel! ¡Gracias! E-mail: egameren@colmex.mx durfari@gmail.com Results 7